Law of (Truly) Large Numbers
Model #0730Category: General Thinking & Meta-ModelsDepth to apply:
4 min read
Contents
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Mental model
5 Whys
A root-cause analysis technique that drills past symptoms by asking why five suc
Mental model
All Models Are Wrong
George Box s insight that every model is a simplification of reality — the quest
Mental model
Amara's Law
We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underest
Mental model
Eisenhower Decision Matrix
A prioritization framework that sorts tasks into four quadrants based on urgency
Mental model
First Principles Thinking
Breaking down complex problems to their most fundamental truths, then reasoning
Mental model
Goodhart's Law
When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure — incentives shi
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Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Survivorship Bias mental model
Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Regression to the Mean mental model
Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Narrative mental model
Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Scale mental model
Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Law of (Truly) Large Numbers mental model
Law of (Truly) Large Numbers applied the Black Swan Theory mental model