Contents
Laplace's Law
Model #0666Category: Computer Science & AlgorithmsSource: Pierre-Simon LaplaceDepth to apply:
4 min read
Contents
Mental model
Abstraction
The practice of hiding complexity behind a simpler interface, enabling reasoning
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— Pierre-Simon Laplace, Théorie analytique des probabilités"When the probability of an event is unknown, we may suppose it equal to any value between 0 and 1." The rule of succession makes that concrete: (k+1)/(n+2) is the posterior mean under a uniform prior.
Laplace's Law applied the Bayes Theorem mental model
Laplace's Law applied the Average Rule mental model
Laplace's Law applied the Laplace's Law mental model
Laplace's Law applied the Conditional Probability mental model
Laplace's Law applied the Algorithms mental model
Laplace's Law applied the Churn mental model